How experts make sense of the world (or don’t) with statistics
A review of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t, by Nate Silver. @@@@@ (5 out of 5). Explores the ins and outs of predicting outcomes not just in politics, poker, and sports (baseball and basketball) as well as the stock market, the economy, and the 2008 financial meltdown, weather forecasting, earthquakes, epidemic disease, chess, climate change, and terrorism.
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